Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 54.088835 60.626146 67.426004 75.009177 83.211750 91.798959 101.450598
2024-10-13 43.796188 53.358888 63.905991 76.322047 90.456465 105.965733 124.187489
2024-10-20 37.703869 48.724267 61.383480 76.837814 95.027433 115.590703 140.422550
2024-10-27 31.873100 43.519507 57.407896 74.925642 96.156443 120.781985 151.217456
2024-11-03 29.531964 42.161094 57.678801 77.758617 102.648340 132.083735 169.098485
2024-11-10 27.031177 40.281912 57.033406 79.233832 107.327522 141.142344 184.328768
2024-11-17 24.297148 37.801526 55.363124 79.186358 109.939686 147.580080 196.357880
2024-11-24 23.050696 37.179318 55.988088 81.993251 116.105415 158.416451 213.880586
2024-12-01 20.908840 35.107452 54.504058 81.882303 118.418700 164.382374 225.368578
2024-12-08 18.722441 32.769938 52.473909 80.871257 119.421346 168.598089 234.622626
2024-12-15 17.106298 31.125323 51.275155 80.870619 121.669618 174.364034 245.852892
2024-12-22 15.724251 29.711877 50.295099 81.076570 124.128127 180.377214 257.427803
2024-12-29 15.217621 29.661614 51.327696 84.201632 130.712233 192.037731 276.680757
2025-01-05 14.171624 28.662065 50.894329 85.201523 134.388885 199.924785 291.162262
2025-01-12 13.138001 27.584371 50.256756 85.832598 137.507124 207.059728 304.699145
2025-01-19 11.577119 25.462289 47.868107 83.743602 136.671367 208.774493 310.993006
2025-01-26 11.290996 25.542841 48.927711 86.822758 143.244265 220.649332 331.011135
2025-02-02 10.715032 25.049513 49.028622 88.423937 147.692466 229.651794 347.257790
2025-02-09 9.859212 23.961834 48.092669 88.372462 149.699278 235.276267 358.968670
2025-02-16 9.648779 24.075473 49.138355 91.417992 156.298021 247.372032 379.635132
2025-02-23 8.886318 23.049579 48.206486 91.297653 158.173888 252.848393 391.269504
2025-03-02 8.025623 21.741805 46.710820 90.200865 158.527689 256.142009 399.894967
2025-03-09 7.410355 20.874106 45.924406 90.200172 160.505671 261.740841 411.753141